>Based on latest analysis with NWP models and other conventional techniques, estimated track and intensity of the system are given in the Table below by IMD Chennai
Date/Time(IST)
|
Position
(lat. 0N/ long. 0E)
|
Sustained maximum surface wind speed (kmph)
|
Intensity
|
07-11-2010/0230
|
11.0/84.0
|
110-120 gusting 130
|
Severe Cyclonic Storm
|
07-11-2010/0830
|
11.5/83.5
|
120-130 gusting 140
|
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
|
07-11-2010/1430
|
12.5/82.5
|
120-130 gusting 140
|
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
|
07-11-2010/2030
|
13.0/81.5
|
120-130 gusting 140
|
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
|
08-11-2010/0230
|
13.5/80.0
|
120-130 gusting 140
|
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
|
08-11-2010/1430
|
14.0/79.0
|
110-120 gusting 130
|
Severe Cyclonic Storm
|
09-11-2010/0230
|
15.0/77.5
|
50-60 gusting 70
|
Deep Depression
|
09-11-2010/1430
|
16.5/75.5
|
35-45 gusting 55
|
Depression
|
The exact landfall is still unclear and will become clearer only later in the day. Cyclone Jal will cross coast late eveing or night.
Damage expected:
Extensive damage to thatched roofs and huts. Minor damage to power and communication lines due to uprooting of large avenue trees. Flooding of escape routes.
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